The balance of payments account
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•
Balance of payments account is a record of the
value of all transactions between residents of one country, with the
residents of all other countries in the world over a given time period
(usually one year).
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The current account
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The current account is a measure of the flow
of funds from trade in goods/services (plus other income flows). It is sub-divided into three
parts:
1.
Balance of trade in goods
2.
Balance
of trade in services
3.
Net income flows
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Balance of trade in goods
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Also called- visible trade balance,
merchandise account balance or balance of trade
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It is a measure of the revenue received from
the exports of tangible (physical) goods, minus the expenditure on the
imports of tangible goods, over a given time period.
•
Examples- trade in airplanes or chickens
(something you can touch!)
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The balance of trade in services
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•
Also called the invisible trade balance,
service balance or net services.
•
It is a measure of the revenue received from
the exports of services, minus, the expenditure on the imports of services
over a given time period.
•
Examples: banking, insurance, tourism
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Income
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Current transfers
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•
Also called the invisible trade balance,
service balance or net services.
•
It is a measure of the revenue received from
the exports of services, minus, the expenditure on the imports of services
over a given time period.
•
Examples: banking, insurance, tourism
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The capital account
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The capital account is a measure of the buying
and selling of assets between countries.
•
Examples- land, real estate, firms
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The financial account
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Direct investments- a measure of the purchase of
long term assst where the purchaser is aimoing to gain long lasting interst
Portfolio Investment- investment in stocks/shares,
currency transactions and bank and savings account deposits
Reserve assets- In the context
of BOP and international monetary systems, the reserve asset is the currency
or other store of value that is primarily used by nations for their foreign
reserves.[
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Consequences
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The existence of a
deficit or surplus in either the current or capital account result in
economic consequences.
Foreign exchange
reserves may be used to increase the capital account & regain the
balance.
If this is the case
then high levels of interest must be paid.
In the short-term,
this could drain the economy and further increase the current account deficit
in the future.
Also, the danger
exists that lenders could withdraw their money, leading to massive selling of
the currency and a sharp decline in the exchange rate.
•
A capital account surplus is mainly positive,
as it allows a current account deficit.
•
BUT a capital account surplus based on high
levels of borrowing from abroad is not good.
–
High interest payments may drain the economy
for years and if the lender withdraws its money could cause a sharp decline
in the exchange rate.
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Methods of correcting a persistent current account
deficit
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When successful,
spending on imports falls and the current account deficit improves
When this occurs
spending on all goods/services decreases (including spending on imports)
The size of the fall
in imports will depend on the marginal propensity to import
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Marshal lerner condioton
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Introduction- In
theory, when a country’s currency depreciates or is devalued there will be an
increase in exports and a decrease in imports.
AND that should
improve a country’s current account deficit.
BUT this is not always
the case.
B/C the effect of a
price change (even a currency price change) depends on Price Elasticity of
Demand (for imports or exports)
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The J curve
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If a government is
facing a current account deficit, it may reduce the exchange rate of its
currency in order to make exports relatively less expensive and imports
relatively more expensive.
If this happens AND
the Marshall-Lerner condition is satisfied, PEDexports + PEDimports
>1, then we can expect an improvement in the current account deficit.
But in the short-run
this is not always the case and the current account deficit actually gets
worse before it gets better.
This is called the
J-curve effect
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lol
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Tuesday, November 6, 2012
Balance of payments
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